marți, 31 martie 2015

General Election 2015: The masterminds behind the scenes



Lynton Crosby


The mastermind of many an election victory in his home country of Australia, he also helped Boris Johnson become London Mayor and is the undisputed supremo of the Tory campaign.


Lord (Andrew) Feldman


An old friend of David Cameron, he is the co-party chair. Will play a key role in head office and provide a link between Cameron and campaign HQ.


Stephen Gilbert


The director of campaigning, he is the link man between Tory headquarters and candidates fighting in marginal seats. Gilbert will be the first person to see canvass returns and will decide where to pour additional resources.



Craig Oliver (above)


The former editor of  BBC1’s News at Ten, he is now the director of communications and is in charge of media appearances and journalists’ access to Cameron.



George Osborne


The Chancellor, who is Cameron’s closest political ally, doubles as the Conservatives’ key election strategist.


Strategy


This can be summed up in three words: chaos versus competence. At every stage the Tories will highlight their handling of the economy and suggest voters cannot afford to risk letting Labour back into power. This strategy is based on a successful campaign devised by Crosby’s business partner in New Zealand.


Challenges


Message discipline is Crosby’s No 1 priority. But this means the Tories are not, so far, addressing other things that voters care about, such as schools and the NHS. They also risk being seen as not aspirational, and the nasty party – especially since they are planning £12bn of benefits cuts without saying where the axe will fall.


Labour: Key players


Tim Livesey


Chief of staff. Former Foreign Office official who later worked for Lambeth Palace. Working on Labour’s transition to government.



Douglas Alexander


Shadow Foreign Secretary who also heads election campaign. Faces SNP threat in his seat.


Lord (Stewart) Wood


Oxford academic and former Gordon Brown adviser. Shares Miliband’s outlook and hugely influential.


Marc Stears


Speechwriter and Oxford academic, close friend of the Labour leader since Oxford.



Spencer Livermore


Former Brown aide who fell out with him over the  “non-election” of 2007; returned from private sector to become campaign director.


Greg Beales


Director of strategy. A former McKinsey consultant who pores over opinion polls and focus groups.


Torsten Bell


A former aide at the  Treasury who keeps a  tight rein on policy and spending pledges



Lucy Powell


Former deputy chief of staff promoted to deputy chair of campaign last November when Miliband faced attempted coup.


Strategy


To portray the Conservatives as “for the few, not the many”, committed to “extreme” cuts which would threaten the NHS. Labour would “build an economy that works for working people” and safeguard the NHS.


Challenges


Labour has been dogged by weak ratings for Miliband, as a prime minister-in-waiting, and for the party on economic competence. Its anti-business rhetoric will mean it has few cheerleaders from the business world. It will need to keep a lid on its internal tensions and rivalries.


It also faces the nightmare of a votes collapse in Scotland. It has failed to rule out any post-election co-operation with the SNP for fear of alienating Scottish voters.


Liberal Democrats: Key players



Lord Ashdown


Former leader who is the election campaign chief. Has already started holding 6am meetings to dictate strategy.


Tim Gordon


Party chief executive credited with professionalising its headquarters operation.


Jonny Oates


Chief of staff to Clegg, likely to take charge of election debate preparations.



Baroness (Olly) Grender


Former head of communications and adviser to Nick Clegg, who is Ashdown’s deputy.


James McGrory


Clegg’s trusted spokesman will be at his side throughout the campaign.


Strategy


To pitch a “sensible middle ground” appeal to voters worried by Tory cuts and Labour spending plans. To point to Lib Dem achievements in government, including increasing income tax thresholds and championing the “pupil premium”. Needs to capitalise on the incumbency factor in  its existing seats.


Challenges


Rebuilding support from dismal poll ratings that have refused to budge for four years and overcoming the animus among voters towards Clegg. Trying to defend as many as possible of its 57 seats as it attempts to make its voice heard above the Greens, Ukip and the SNP.


Ukip: Key players


Rex Features
Chris Bruni-Lowe


Masterminded Ukip’s successful by-election campaigns in Clacton and Rochester; has been given the job of co-ordinating the election campaign. His main job will be to ensure Nigel Farage wins in  Thanet South.


Raheem Kassam


Farage’s key adviser, the former Conservative student will be with the Ukip leader for much of the campaign and help co-ordinate with party headquarters.


Paul Nuttall


Ukip deputy leader is taking charge of drive to win votes in the North of England.



Suzanne Evans


A former BBC journalist, now deputy chairman. Writing the manifesto.


Strategy


Ukip wants to make national noise to keep up its overall share of the vote, while running a Lib Dem-style targeted campaign to capture several seats in May.


Challenges


Could find itself badly squeezed as the two main parties relentless target voters, warning them that a Ukip vote would let the other party in. Ukip could seriously underperform compared with poll ratings.


SNP: Key players



Peter Morrell


Nicola Sturgeon’s  husband is the party’s  chief executive and  officially in charge of strategy over the next  five weeks.


Angus Robertson


The Europhile MP for Moray is the SNP’s campaign director,  directing resources  between its numerous target seats.


EPA
Stewart Hosie


The party’s deputy leader is taking charge of the election manifesto.


Alex Salmond


The former First Minister currently has no formal role, apart from as candidate in Gordon, but he is bound to take a high profile.


Strategy


To turn the extraordinary surge in support since last year’s referendum into votes. Will push the message that only a division of SNP MPs will pursue progressive policies – and  if that helps the rest of the UK’s left, so be it. The front-of-stage independence priority  has temporarily been  put on hold.


Challenges


The danger that serially attacking Westminster’s elite – Labour and the Tories alike – could backfire. If the main battleground issue  shifts to who should become prime minister,  the SNP could look  engaged in a side-show.  The “Scottish voice”  issue could leave it  looking parochial.


Greens: Key players



Chris Luffingham


Usually known as Billy, he is the Greens’ campaigns director. He is charged with fashioning the party’s messages and raising its media profile.


Penny Kemp


Longstanding Green activist who is the  external communications co-ordinator.



Tom Beckett


Fundraising and operations director who is in charge of raising cash for the party’s biggest campaign in its history.


Strategy


To project a left-wing appeal aimed at disillusioned Labour and Lib Dem supporters. Calling for an end to austerity, a “restoration  of the public sector”,  and defence of a publicly funded NHS, as well as serious action on climate change.


Challenges


Top priority is fighting off Labour to retain its sole seat in Brighton Pavilion;  is also targeting Bristol West and Norwich South. Leader Natalie Bennett will need to prove her credentials following accusations she is not  up to the job. Needs to avoid its voice getting drowned out in the election hubbub.


The Independent has got together with May2015.com to produce a poll of polls that produces the most up-to-date data in as close to real time as possible.


Click the buttons below to explore how the main parties’ fortunes have changed:



All data, polls and graphics are courtesy of May2015.com. Click through for daily analysis, in-depth features and all the data you need. (All historical data used is provided by UK Polling Report)


 





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